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Scientists warn insects could be extinct ‘within a century’

Insects could become extinct within a century if their rapid rate of decline continues, according to the first global scientific review.

A damning study found 41 per cent of all insect species are in decline and the loss of these animals will trigger a ‘catastrophic collapse’ in the planet’s ecosystems.

Scientists at the University of Sydney revealed the total mass of insects was found to be falling by 2.5 per cent a year and may go extinct within a century.

The startling claims rely on no conservation efforts being successful and the famously durable and adaptable insect phylum failing to adapt to the ongoing natural flux. 

Insects have long been heralded as the ‘great survivors’ of the animal kingdom and it would require an astonishing degree of destruction to eradicate them permanently. 

Researchers have defended the hyperbolic claims and insist they are not alarmist – saying they are hoping to raise awareness of the ongoing issue facing insect conservation. 

The findings build on previous claims that Earth has entered its sixth mass extinction – the first since a giant asteroid slammed into modern-day Mexico and triggered the demise of the dinosaurs 66 million years ago.  

The speed at which insects are dying out is eight times faster than that of mammals, birds and reptiles.

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A University of Sydney study says insects could become completely extinct within 100 years as a ‘sixth mass extinction’ beckons, scientists claim. They say industrial agriculture, climate change and urbanisation are to blame (stock)

Forty-one per cent of insect species have experienced decline in the last decade (pictured). Since 1990, butterfly numbers dropped by 27 per cent in farmland and by 58 per cent in woodland and neonicotinoids has seen numbers of bees plummet 

Insect numbers were found to be dwindling at an unprecedented rate and this prompted the researchers to issue a stark warning to the public as part of their scientific conclusions. 

Writing in the ground-breaking paper, the researchers used an unusually forceful manner to drive the message home.   

Its condemning tone is against the norm for scientific papers but was deemed necessary by both the authors of the study and the editors of the journal in order to bring the global crisis into view.

Figures show that 53 per cent of butterfly species have dropped over the past decade, while 46 per cent of bees species are in decline. 

The worst hit group of all is the caddisfly with 68 per cent of species declining, but dragonflies and beetles have also seen a significant drop of 37 per cent and 49 per cent, respectively.  

Intensive agriculture was found to be ‘the root cause of the problem’, but a host of issues were identified by the researchers as contributing to the insect genocide, such as climate change, urbanisation, habitat loss, disease and the introduction of invasive species. 

Dr Andrew Bladon, a postdoctoral research associate at the University of Cambridge, told MailOnline that it is unlikely all insects will ever die out, but their numbers will dwindle to such a low their ecological function will be minimal.

He said: ‘It is probably very unlikely that you would lose every single insect, but highly likely that if we do not change agricultural practices we will lose the vast majority of species and individuals.

‘An important point to make is that long before the last one died it would be ecologically extinct and unable to perform their function.

‘They would offer no pollination or pest control services and be an insufficient food source for many animals. 

‘If this was to happen, humanity would be in a poor place.’

Insects are ‘essential’ to all ecosystems because of their role in pollinating plants and flowers, and as a food item for other creatures, the researchers say. 

Any major decline in the amount of insect species will ultimately have a huge impact on humans too.

There have been recent reports of heavily declining insect numbers in Puerto Rico and Germany but the review claims the problem is a worldwide crisis.

Writing in the study, the researchers laid out their damning conclusions. 

It read: ‘The [insect] trends confirm that the sixth major extinction event is profoundly impacting [on] life forms on our planet.

‘Unless we change our ways of producing food, insects as a whole will go down the path of extinction in a few decades.

‘The repercussions this will have for the planet’s ecosystems are catastrophic to say the least.’

Francisco Sánchez-Bayo was one of the authors of the study and defended the use of the strongly-worded claims, insisting they are not alarmist.

Instead, he hopes the review’s dire outlook will ‘really wake people up’.

Francisco Sánchez-Bayo, at the University of Sydney, Australia, who wrote the review with Kris Wyckhuys at the China Academy of Agricultural Sciences in Beijing, said: ‘If insect species losses cannot be halted, this will have catastrophic consequences for both the planet’s ecosystems and for the survival of mankind.’

Butterflies and moths are among the worst hit. For example, the number of widespread butterfly species fell by 58 per cent on farmed land in England between 2000 and 2009. Any major decline in insect species will ultimately have a huge impact on the wider ecosystem and humans (stock) 

He described the 2.5 per cent rate of annual loss over the last 25-30 years as ‘shocking’.

He said: ‘It is very rapid. In ten years you will have a quarter less, in 50 years only half left and in 100 years you will have none.’

Insects are an essential part of the world’s ecosystem and are more plentiful and varied than any other group of animals. 

There are more than 17 times the amount of insects than humans by weight alone. 

Industrial farming and the associated use of chemical pesticides has been identified as the primary cause of decline but urbanisation and climate change have also been slated as key barriers to the revival of insects. 

‘If insect species losses cannot be halted, this will have catastrophic consequences for both the planet’s ecosystems and for the survival of mankind,’ Dr Sánchez-Bayo told The Guardian.  

He added that the 2.5 per cent loss of insects annually is ‘very rapid’ and ‘shocking’. 

Mark Wright, Director of Science, at WWF said: ‘This is not about a summer without the chirp of crickets – this is about the disappearance of the foundation of life on Earth.

‘The collapse of insect numbers is another sign that our planet is in crisis and we need urgent action, on a global scale, to protect nature. Our future depends on it.’

Puerto Rico has served as a long-running example of the devastating impact insect loss can have on the wider ecosystem. 


The world has experienced five mass extinctions over the course of its history, and experts claim we are seeing another one happen right now.   

A 2017 research paper claimed a ‘biological annihilation’ of wildlife in recent decades has triggered the sixth mass extinction and says the planet is heading towards a ‘global crisis’. 

Scientists warn humanity’s voracious consumption and wanton destruction is to blame for the event, which is the first major extinction since the dinosaurs.

Two species of vertebrate, animals with a backbone, have gone extinct every year, on average, for the past century.

Currently around 41 per cent of amphibian species and more than a quarter of mammals are threatened with extinction.

There are an estimated 8.7 million plant and animal species on our planet and about 86 per cent of land species and 91 per cent of sea species remain undiscovered.

Of the ones we do know, 1,204 mammal, 1,469 bird, 1,215 reptile, 2,100 amphibian, and 2,386 fish species are considered threatened.

Also threatened are 1,414 insect, 2,187 mollusc, 732 crustacean, 237 coral, 12,505 plant, 33 mushroom, and six brown algae species.

More than 25,000 species of 91,523 assessed for the 2017 ‘Red List’ update were classified as ‘threatened’. 

The number of invertebrates at risk has also peaked. 

Scientists predict insects may go extinct within 100 years as a result of crippling population decline.   

The dawn of the mass extinction coincides with the onset of the Anthropocene – the geological age defined by human activity being the dominant influence on climate and the environment.

The widespread use of pesticides and, more specifically, neonicotinoids, has caused the numbers of bees (pictured) around the EU and US to drop dramatically. EU courts stepped in last year to prevent these from being used but it comes after the number of honeybee colonies in the US has dropped by 2.5 million since the end of the Second World War (stock)

It has seen the number of insects fall by 98 per cent in the last 35 years and the various fish, reptiles, amphibians and mammals that rely on them as a food source have since been in decline.  

In order to get an accurate look at the state of the declining animal numbers around the world, the researchers collated 73 of the leading studies done in recent years.

Most were conducted in western Europe and the US, with some focusing on Australia, China, Brazil and South Africa.

Dr Bladon told MailOnline that the methodology provided an extensive assessment of the world’s ecosystems. 

He said: ‘There are inevitable gaps in the data collection, with there being far more information for Europe and the US than some regions of Africa, for example. 

‘Despite this, I doubt any scientists reading this scientific study would collect any data that would rebuff the findings and come to a different conclusion.

‘It is important to collect more data but I don’t think any scientists reading this report would expect it to change and the expectation would be that the trend is the same regardless of any further data collection. 

‘Whilst yes we knew more certainty would strengthen the message, the conclusion would remain the same.

‘The issue now lies at the door of the general public and politicians to do something.

‘Scientists have identified the concerns and conservationists have found a solution which would fix the issue but they fail to be implemented. 

‘Scientific understanding absolutely underpins government policy. 

‘I would argue the natural world and wildlife is a human right, as much as other things we take for granted in the developed world, and this ought to be top of the political agenda.’


Five times, a vast majority of the world’s life has been snuffed out in what have been called mass extinctions.

End-Ordovician mass extinction
The first of the traditional big five extinction events, around 540 million years ago, was probably the second most severe. Virtually all life was in the sea at the time and around 85% of these species vanished.

Late Devonian mass extinction

About 375-359 million years ago, major environmental changes caused a drawn-out extinction event that wiped out major fish groups and stopped new coral reefs forming for 100 million years.

Five times, a vast majority of the world’s life has been snuffed out in what have been called mass extinctions. The most famous may be the End-Cretaceous, which wiped out the dinosaurs. Artist’s impression

End-Permian mass extinction (the Great Dying)
The largest extinction event and the one that affected the Earth’s ecology most profoundly took place 252 million years ago. As much as 97% of species that leave a fossil record disappeared forever.

End-Triassic mass extinction
Dinosaurs first appeared in the Early Triassic, but large amphibians and mammal-like reptiles were the dominant land animals. The rapid mass extinction that occurred 201 million years ago changed that.

End-Cretaceous mass extinction

An asteroid slammed down on Earth 66 million years ago, and is often blamed for ending the reign of the dinosaurs.

Leafhoppers (pictured) constitute a large proportion of flying insects in Europe but numbers of the animal have plunged by 66 per cent by 1950 (stock)

The analysis included a fresh look at a study released in June 2018 which discovered that since 1990, butterfly numbers dropped by 27 per cent in farmland and by 58 per cent in woodland.

This UK-focused study was part of a long-running research project and provided a wealth of data and information for analysis.  

The report from the UK’s department for environment, food and rural affairs (DEFRA) called this an ‘ecological Armageddon’.

Nigel Bourn, director of science at Butterfly Conservation, told The Times at the time that keeping perspective is crucial. 

‘That the worst five years ever for butterflies have all been in the last decade should ring major alarm bells,’ he explained.

Butterflies and moths are among the worst hit but another high-profile casualty of the insect Armageddon are bees. 

The widespread use of pesticides and, more specifically, neonicotinoids, has caused the numbers of bees around the EU and US to drop dramatically. 


Neonicotinoids are neuro-active chemicals similar to nicotine that have proved to be highly effective at protecting crops from pests, especially aphids and root-eating grubs.

They can either be sprayed on leaves or coated on seeds, in which case they infiltrate every part of the growing plant.

Years of research have shown that under controlled conditions the chemicals are toxic to honey bees and bumblebees, causing brain damage that can affect learning and memory and impair their ability to forage for nectar and pollen.

The chemicals are a key battleground in the environmental movement – with campaigners demanding a ‘complete and permanent’ ban on the pesticides as they are suspected to be harmful to bees. 

Only two to 20 per cent of the neonicotinoids, which are still used on crops such as wheat, are taken up and the rest is left on the soil. 

Samples taken in October revealed 75 per cent of samples from around the world contain the chemicals.

Researchers tested 198 honey samples and found three out of four were laced with at least one of the neonicotinoid chemicals.

For the study, an international team of European researchers tested almost 200 honey samples from around the world for residues left by five different neonicotinoids.

While in most cases the levels were well below the EU safety limits for human consumption, there were exceptions.

Honey from both Germany and Poland exceeded maximum residue levels (MRLs) for combined neonicotinoids while samples from Japan reached 45 per cent of the limits.

Samples from England had neonicotinoid levels that were no more than 1.36 per cent of the amount thought to be safe for human consumption. 

EU courts stepped in last year to prevent these from being used but it comes after the number of honeybee colonies in the US has dropped by 2.5 million since the end of the Second World War.  

Neonicotinoid eradication was heralded as a ‘major victory’ by campaigners but remains a small positive step in the face of overwhelming decline. 

While areas of agricultural activity are likely seeing insects disappearing as a result of chemical usage, the tropical areas are being more heavily impacted by climate change, the researchers say. 

Conditions in these areas have remained relatively constant and predictable for a long time, with the animal inhabitants poorly adapted to changing conditions.  

In the wake of declining populations some adaptable species have found a way to overcome the widespread misery and thrive, but these pockets of success are unable to offset the wider decline. 

Matt Shardlow, chief executive of wildlife charity Buglife, said: ‘It is gravely sobering to see this collation of evidence that demonstrates the pitiful state of the world’s insect populations.

‘It’s not just about bees, or even about pollination and feeding ourselves, the declines also include dung beetles that recycle waste and insects like dragonflies that start life in rivers and ponds. 

‘It is becoming increasingly obvious our planet’s ecology is breaking and there is a need for an intense and global effort to halt and reverse these dreadful trends – allowing the slow eradication of insect life to continue is not a rational option.’ 

He said insects made up more than half the species on Earth, but the research showed they were disappearing much faster than birds and mammals. 

‘There is not a single cause, but the evidence is clear, to halt this crisis we must urgently reverse habitat fragmentation, prevent and mitigate climate change, clean up polluted waters and replace pesticide dependency with more sustainable, ecologically-sensitive farming,’ he urged. 

The study is published in the journal Biological Conservation.

Read more:

  • Worldwide decline of the entomofauna: A review of its drivers – ScienceDirect
  • Plummeting insect numbers ‘threaten collapse of nature’ | Environment | The Guardian
  • Butterfly decline prompts call for new farming laws | News | The Times

Scientists warn insects could be extinct ‘within a century’

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